Russia & USA To Play Icehockey.
03-19-2025 - Live Trades, sharing analysis and updates on ceasefire.
Daily Market Support & Resistance Levels: Arrow Predictions
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💵 💶💷 Forex (DXY) 💵💶💷
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-15-2025
Key Dollar Index Support & Resistance levels: (TVC)
DXY - Long Term Bullish Above🟩N/A
DXY - Long Term Bearish Below🟥107.661
DXY - Short Term Bullish Above🟢103.253
DXY - Short Term Bearish Below🔴106.275
Please refer to these for EURUSD as well as forex.com data
All eyes on FED here. Powell for ALL markets in observation here, MUST alter the stance of stagnation with a weakened USD and a weakened equities market. I think he will promptly find a way to make both pump a bit, considering the inverse correlation their index and currency markets have domestically, but I am otherwise not hyper concerned with expectations on the rate itself, nor the outcome of it, given the technical cut of otherwise normal volatile correlative conditions.
📉📈Stocks & Indices📈📉
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-09-2025
Key Stocks & Indices Support & Resistance levels:
ES - Long Term Bullish Above🟩N/A
ES - Long Term Bearish Below🟥5883
ES - Short Term Bullish Above🟢5608
ES - Short Term Bearish Below🔴N/A
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com
03-17-2025 It is not unthinkable the Trump administration, cognizant of the uncanny timings in various interviews but certainly at the NYSE, simple in language signaling whether he likes to see the market go up or go down. The recent “acceptance” of recession to me makes it seem as if the damage being done (more so than elsewhere) to the US these pasts few weeks, indeed, have been very intentional. Trump is very deliberately instigating and promoting a dump.
03-17-2025 - I am watching sentiment on social media & various broad as well as business focused general media, and sentiment seems to be very shifted negatively upon “Trump” causing tremors in the USD and the broader US stock markets. I want to see a little bit of break on that, while we observe the so-called ceasefire talks between West & Russia. Econ data has been shaking a bit, and we even had quite an liquid run event, much like a larger hard impact event, on just Fridays consumer sentiment prelims (staggering 57.9 actual versus 63.1 consensus.) I suspect we may see a bit of action from the FED this coming Wednesday, very much of concern to the USD major Forex markets and of course the whole US stock market.
03-19-20 - With a pro-Russia outcome of the ceasefire negotiation, it is clear as day that Trump was not particularly pushful for a proper end on military exchanges. Contrarily, there was no proper ceasefire, just a puny energy infrastructure protection signature. Von Der Leyen has issued a statement that EU will significantly up it’s defense budget and this is something Trump has advocated for traced back all the way to the previous presidency, and as such, it is interesting to suspect he may indeed NOT be interested in an end of the war, and the ceasefire has other goals in mind. Why is Trump seemingly “obvious” in bias about stock market going lower, and very much strategically drawing lines with Allies? Something is indeed afoot. What? You tell me.
⚡⛽Energies⛽⚡
Key Oil Support & Resistance levels:
CL - Long Term Bullish Above🟩 N/A
CL - Long Term Bearish Below🟥N/A
CL - Short Term Bullish Above🟢N/A
CL - Short Term Bearish Below🔴68.29
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com
03-15-2025 - Long term very difficult read, and obviously inflation has left headlines slightly, at least with regards to official releases. We are seeing upmove potential oil via the risks of war escalation, and I am sure there are advanced fundamentals associated with the isolation politics transpiring between EU, East and US, to which international trade of oil can be severely effected.
03-19-2025 - With the failure of a ceasefire, I don’t see how oil will maintain ground short term here. I think RU/US pressure on mid-standing sovereignties leads to oil downmoves short term here.
🥈🥇Metals:🥇🥈
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-15-2025
Key Gold GC Support & Resistance levels:
GC - Long Term Bullish Above🟩2699.3
GC - Long Term Bearish Below🟥N/A
GC - Short Term Bullish Above🟢2909.6
GC - Short Term Bearish Below🔴N/A
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com
03-15-2025 - I view Gold as in a volatile upside trending condition, meaning it doesn’t have to happen, but while though the Ukraine/Russia (and other sort of swimming-beneath-the-surface conflicts) are stagnating/waiting for key developments, the Tariff situation has a bit of a “war” aspect to it. We are seeing key international trade and information relationships between EU and US flip flopping like a pancake, and key political figures (except that Nato guy kissing shoes at the White House recently) opening up a rather hostile communications strategy in public, leading to a reasonable explanation for why gold is behaving like we got WW3 already in the works. I see that continuing unless long term bullish level is taken, from which technicals no longer align with that thought process and technical expectation in sync.
🗑️💩 Crypto 💩🗑️
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-15-2025
Key Bitcoin Support & Resistance levels:
BTC - Long Term Bullish Above🟩67365
BTC - Long Term Bearish Below🟥99305
BTC - Short Term Bullish Above🟢80710
BTC- Short Term Bearish Below🔴90465
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com & Binance
03-15-2025 - Crypto is in an interesting position where we now have engaged a “pro crypto” US administration, with talks of creating a crypto reserve, and a dogecoin “pumpndumper” selling electric vehicles, despite absence from pumping lately on twitter due to managin 16 year old geniuses in the IRS, may at any point return to cause haov.
03-15-2025- Sentimentally speaking, I believe the return lower is “classicly” a “crypto-bro” buy the dip. Saylor bullish, Hayes bullish, and Trump will save bitcoin and we can bypass sanctions right?
03-15-2025 - I believe Crypto, and especially Bitcoin, may finally start entering a stage of a never-before-seen “long term” bearish market, that, if alongside a correlation with the Nasdaq (as a beta tech stock correlation), could challenge the whole confidence in crypto as a whole. I don’t think we have historically, in last 12 months, had such sharp upswing from the all-time-high and then moving below 50k, so while the technicalities long term CAN go both ways right now, I think an idea of revisiting 50k, interests me.
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EURUSD, GBPUSD, Gold, Silver, Oil, SNP 500 , Nasdaq, Dow Jones, NQ/ES/YM, Bonds, Dollar, Commodity Futures and Crypto.
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Theo
Disclaimer: All views and opinions expressed in this blog are solely my own and are presented for educational purposes only, without the use of real money. All strategies, methods and concepts used by me, may one day, and suddenly, stop working. My weekly & daily studies may touch on subjects such as Futures, Stocks, Politics, Bonds, Forex, and Cryptocurrencies. I strongly advise against taking any action based on this content. Engaging in trading involves significant risk, and trading on margin can result in total loss of capital. You are solely responsible for your decisions, actions, trading, and investment choices. The blog’s contributors, including owners, writers, authors, moderators, and any mentioned entities or individuals, are not affiliated with any securities broker-dealers, investment advisors, or any regulatory authorities in the U.S., including the CFTC or the Securities and Exchange Commission. By reading this newsletter/blog, you explicitly agree to these terms. Any images or charts posted here are credited to TradingView & ForexFactory. All content on this blog is the intellectual property of the author. Do NOT share or copy any of the content on the blog without authorization from the author.
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