Daily Market Support & Resistance Levels: Arrow Predictions
03-23-2025 - All markets. PMI Preperation & Risk On
Daily Market Support & Resistance Levels: Arrow Predictions
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🗃️📋 Preliminary Notes 📋🗃️
We did not get much out of Powell from the FED, status quo stagnated rethorics on the rate policy, and stated a non-interest in interfering monetary policy and fiscal policy - specifically the Tariffs coming out of the US administration. Powell also cited that some inflation data unrelated to Tariffs, like domestic housing, has been “going lower”, while import issues may expectedly go higher and they seem to dismiss the longer term effects of this. I hold an analytical stance that we may not see Powell jump any sudden moves unless we see a dramatic change in key numbers or Trump Admin policy & shifts. Of course, that is, if the Stock Market does not suddenly drop.
💵 💶💷 Forex (DXY) 💵💶💷
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-15-2025
Key Dollar Index Support & Resistance levels: (TVC)
DXY - Long Term Bullish Above🟩N/A
DXY - Long Term Bearish Below🟥107.661
DXY - Short Term Bullish Above🟢103.761
DXY - Short Term Bearish Below🔴106.275
Please refer to these for EURUSD as well as forex.com data
The DXY punched higher in line with grey arrow (50-60% edge) prediction, and took out some of the previous days highs. I favor a bearish stance on continued upmoves in line with Orange and Grey.
A loss of the support may be a short opportunity.
📉📈Stocks & Indices📈📉
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-09-2025
Key Stocks & Indices Support & Resistance levels:
ES - Long Term Bullish Above🟩N/A
ES - Long Term Bearish Below🟥5883
ES - Short Term Bullish Above🟢5667.75
ES - Short Term Bearish Below🔴N/A
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com
03-23-2025 - A hesitant-to-act FED to me will be on part of the excused reason for some relief rally next week on Equities. Secondly, we are getting drive in some of the technical major stocks and Tesla had seen a lot of sentiment hate due to the singular problem: Musk association with Trump. Particularly in EU we are seeing negativity surrounding the consumption and use of American products, and EU institutions are advising against holding American stocks now that Trump has declared “Recession” for possible and imminent. The technical no longer line up with immediate continuation lower with sentiment spun and emotionalized as is, thus, I could see a green week coming in.
⚡⛽Energies⛽⚡
Key Oil Support & Resistance levels:
CL - Long Term Bullish Above🟩 N/A
CL - Long Term Bearish Below🟥N/A
CL - Short Term Bullish Above🟢66.97
CL - Short Term Bearish Below🔴70.17
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com
03-15-2025 - Long term very difficult read, and obviously inflation has left headlines slightly, at least with regards to official releases. We are seeing upmove potential oil via the risks of war escalation, and I am sure there are advanced fundamentals associated with the isolation politics transpiring between EU, East and US, to which international trade of oil can be severely effected.
03-19-2025 - With the failure of a ceasefire, I don’t see how oil will maintain ground short term here. I think RU/US pressure on mid-standing sovereignties leads to oil downmoves short term here.
03-23-2025 I had “unluck” with my short term sellside view on oil. Flat out wrong. I am however not thrown off the bearish bias yet and I think it’s getting ready for a BIG downmove, technically speaking.
While we COULD run higher and stay between my short term levels here, I am generally bearish and I think we can see strong and high-short-advantage short moves if we lose the support level. I am a little bit more adaptive on losing the resistance level.
🥈🥇Metals:🥇🥈
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-15-2025
Key Gold GC Support & Resistance levels:
GC - Long Term Bullish Above🟩2699.3
GC - Long Term Bearish Below🟥N/A
GC - Short Term Bullish Above🟢2909.6
GC - Short Term Bearish Below🔴3052.6
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com
03-23-2025 - I view Gold as in a volatile upside trending condition, meaning it doesn’t have to happen, but while though the Ukraine/Russia (and other sort of swimming-beneath-the-surface conflicts) are stagnating/waiting for key developments. The tariff outcome could largely be baked in here and there has been outbound communications by the Trump Admin that the aggressiveness will be taken down a notch. In line with other market technical expectations, I think gold will fall in like with regular risk-on dynamics, particularly with the economic data set to release this weak, on par with correlations that can normally benefit analysis on Gold.
🗑️💩 Crypto 💩🗑️
ORIGINAL Long Term Arrow: 03-15-2025
Key Bitcoin Support & Resistance levels:
BTC - Long Term Bullish Above🟩67365
BTC - Long Term Bearish Below🟥99305
BTC - Short Term Bullish Above🟢80710
BTC- Short Term Bearish Below🔴90465
Please refer to the current front contract on barchart.com or Tradingview.com & Binance
03-23-2025 The longs I had shared live in my 03-19-2025 post, all went to takeprofits. Where to from here, might the crypto reader ask? Hold my beer. Nothing has really changed from last analysis. levels remain the same.
03-15-2025 - Crypto is in an interesting position where we now have engaged a “pro crypto” US administration, with talks of creating a crypto reserve, and a dogecoin “pumpndumper” selling electric vehicles, despite absence from pumping lately on twitter due to managing 16 year old geniuses in the IRS, may at any point return to cause havoc.
03-15-2025- Sentimentally speaking, I believe the return lower is “classicly” a “crypto-bro” buy the dip. Saylor bullish, Hayes bullish, and Trump will save bitcoin and we can bypass sanctions right? I want to fade this obvious, “irrefutable” narrative, as what actually goes on should be the flipside of the iceberg here.
03-15-2025 - I believe Crypto, and especially Bitcoin, may finally start entering a stage of a never-before-seen “long term” bearish market, that, if alongside a correlation with the Nasdaq (as a beta tech stock correlation), could challenge the whole confidence in crypto as a whole. I don’t think we have historically, in last 12 months, had such sharp upswing from the all-time-high and then moving below 50k, so while the technicalities long term CAN go both ways right now, I think an idea of revisiting 50k, interests me.
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If I have time, I will comment on Crypto, Oil & Metals before tomorrow Monday, otherwise stay tuned in my General Chat and I will share as I see something. Crypto has been overwhelmingly boring and I may not be interested in it until something triggers.
My general market watchlist includes:
EURUSD, GBPUSD, Gold, Silver, Oil, SNP 500 , Nasdaq, Dow Jones, NQ/ES/YM, Bonds, Dollar, Commodity Futures and Crypto.
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Theo
Disclaimer: All views and opinions expressed in this blog are solely my own and are presented for educational purposes only, without the use of real money. All strategies, methods and concepts used by me, may one day, and suddenly, stop working. My weekly & daily studies may touch on subjects such as Futures, Stocks, Politics, Bonds, Forex, and Cryptocurrencies. I strongly advise against taking any action based on this content. Engaging in trading involves significant risk, and trading on margin can result in total loss of capital. You are solely responsible for your decisions, actions, trading, and investment choices. The blog’s contributors, including owners, writers, authors, moderators, and any mentioned entities or individuals, are not affiliated with any securities broker-dealers, investment advisors, or any regulatory authorities in the U.S., including the CFTC or the Securities and Exchange Commission. By reading this newsletter/blog, you explicitly agree to these terms. Any images or charts posted here are credited to TradingView & ForexFactory. All content on this blog is the intellectual property of the author. Do NOT share or copy any of the content on the blog without authorization from the author.
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